Weather Updates PK, a private weather forecasting company, has projected a strong pre-monsoon rain spell immediately following the current heatwave.
The current weather pattern, affected by powerful pre-monsoon currents interacting with Western influences, is predicted to deliver severe rain and thunderstorms to various areas of Pakistan, according to weather analyst Jawad Memon, who operates the company.
🟢 PRE-MONSOON ON STERIODS AND SIGNS OF EARLY MONSOON ONSET IN PAKISTAN:
📍 MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST:
As Per Current Weather Pattern Prevailing in our Region. Under Influence of Strong Pre-Monsoon Currents Interacting with Western Influence A Strong Pre-Monsoon Rain Spell is… pic.twitter.com/5lNVtyMbU9— Weather Updates PK (@WeatherWupk) June 21, 2023
According to the medium-term forecast, the impending weather system is expected to strike Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Kashmir, Punjab, higher Sindh, and upper and western Balochistan.
Heavy rain and thunderstorms are forecast to fall in these areas from June 25th to June 28th. A more detailed update on this weather system will be published soon.
Looking ahead, the long-term projection forecasts that the first monsoon spell would hit southeastern Sindh, including Karachi, towards the end of June or the first week of July.
Based on the most recent weather trends and long-term forecasts, a low pressure region is predicted to emerge over the Bay of Bengal in the coming days. This weather system could reach Indian Rajasthan, Gujarat, and the surrounding southeastern portions of Sindh by following the east-west shear zone.
A second region of low pressure is expected to build over the Bay of Bengal by the first week of July. A potential nexus creation between the two systems is possible with a favorable shear zone.
The combination of these weather systems, supported by an active North Arabian Sea offshore trough, might result in the formation of either a well-defined low-pressure area (UAC) or a monsoon trough (MTC) in the neighborhood of Gujarat. This would, in turn, strengthen the nearby low-pressure area.
It is crucial to remember, however, that because this is a long-term prognosis, the picture may change in the coming days. Weather patterns change, and meteorologists will continue to keep a careful eye on the situation.
Residents in the aforementioned Pakistani regions are encouraged to stay up to speed on the latest weather forecasts and to obey any warnings or precautions issued by the relevant authorities to ensure their safety and minimize potential disruptions caused by the anticipated weather system
