Astronomers are keeping a close watch on asteroid 2024 YR4, which has a small but significant 2% chance of colliding with Earth in 2032. While this space rock, measuring between 40 and 90 meters in width, is smaller than the asteroid that caused the dinosaur extinction, it could still bring regional devastation if it impacts.
The asteroid was first detected on December 27 by the ATLAS telescope in Chile, and astronomers have since tracked its path using observatories across the globe. With upcoming observations by the James Webb Space Telescope in March and May, scientists aim to refine predictions of its trajectory.
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Despite the uncertainty, experts are working on assessing the potential risks. If 2024 YR4 turns out to be on the larger side, it could cause damage as far as 50 kilometers from the impact site. However, smaller asteroids like this one impact Earth infrequently, and most disintegrate in the atmosphere.
Astronomers stress the importance of ongoing monitoring, as many similar-sized asteroids remain undetected, highlighting the need for continuous sky observation to protect the planet.
