DUBAI – The US and Iran are reportedly sliding toward military conflict as diplomatic talks over Tehran’s nuclear program stall, officials and diplomats say. Concerns are growing across the Gulf and Europe over the risk of escalation.
Iran’s Gulf neighbors and Israel view a conflict as increasingly likely. Washington has sent one of its largest military deployments to the region since the 2003 Iraq invasion. Israel is preparing for possible joint military action with the US and Iran, though no final decision has been made.
The standoff follows earlier U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites last June. Regional officials warn that any confrontation could destabilize the Middle East and affect global oil markets.
Diplomatic efforts have failed to bridge core disagreements. Recent rounds of US and Iran talks addressed uranium enrichment, missiles, and sanctions relief. Iranian officials rejected some U.S. proposals outright, signaling deep divisions.
U.S. President Donald Trump has warned that Iran must reach a deal over its nuclear program or face “really bad things.” He has sent aircraft carriers, warships, and jets to the Gulf, though officials say a limited strike remains under consideration.
European and Gulf officials express concern over the scale of U.S. deployment. Military analysts note that any strike could target Iran’s air defenses and Revolutionary Guards Navy, which have previously threatened oil routes and shipping.
Iran insists on retaining its nuclear capability and refuses to discuss ballistic missiles. While Tehran allows IAEA monitoring, key decisions remain with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Both sides continue to stick to firm positions, reducing the chances of near-term compromise.
Experts caution that military action may be easier to start than control. Strategic outcomes, such as halting Iran’s nuclear program or triggering regime change, remain uncertain. Regional leaders are calling for restraint, emphasizing the risks of escalation.
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The situation highlights the fragile balance between diplomacy and force as the US and Iran confront one of the most serious standoffs in years.
